The signal and the noise : why so many predictions fail but some don't2012 · 423 citations
What are hit papers?
Hit papers significantly outperform the citation benchmark for their cohort. A paper qualifies
if any of the following hold:
it has ≥500 total citations;
it reaches ≥1.5× the top-1% citation threshold for papers in the same subfield and year (the
threshold is the minimum needed to enter the top 1%, not the average within it);
it reaches the top citation threshold in at least one of its specific research topics.
2012CERN Document Server (European Organization for Nuclear Research)
This map shows the geographic impact of Nate Silver's research. It shows the number of citations coming from papers published by authors working in each country. You can also color the map by specialization and compare the number of citations received by Nate Silver with the expected number of citations based on a country's size and research output (numbers larger than one mean the country cites Nate Silver more than expected).
This network shows the impact of papers produced by Nate Silver. Nodes represent research fields, and links connect fields that are likely to share authors. Colored nodes show fields that tend to cite the papers produced by Nate Silver. The network helps show where Nate Silver may publish in the future.
Co-authors
The 3 scholars most cited alongside Nate Silver, linked wherever they
have co-authored with each other. Click a name or a connecting line to browse the papers
they share.
Border = papers with Nate SilverLine = papers co-authored togetherNate Silver links everyone, so they are left out of the graph.
All Works
6 of 6 papers shown
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Work
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The signal and the noise : why so many predictions fail but some don't
CERN Document Server (European Organization for Nuclear Research)·Nate Silver
Nate Silver is a scholar working on Political Science and International Relations, Economics and Econometrics, Infectious Diseases, Organic Chemistry and Surgery, having authored 6 papers that have together received 641 indexed citations. Recurring topics across this work include Electoral Systems and Political Participation (1 paper), Sports Analytics and Performance (1 paper) and Game Theory and Voting Systems (1 paper). The work is most often cited by research in General Decision Sciences (37 citations), Management Science and Operations Research (85 citations), Economics and Econometrics (121 citations), General Social Sciences (11 citations) and Information Systems and Management (23 citations). Nate Silver has collaborated with scholars based in United States. Frequent co-authors include Andrew Gelman, Aaron S. Edlin and David Byrne. Their work appears in journals such as Economic Inquiry, Columbia Academic Commons (Columbia University), CERN Document Server (European Organization for Nuclear Research) and Medical Entomology and Zoology.
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