Justin Lessler

33.7k citations

221 papers · 16.4k indexed · 9 hit papers · h-index 54

Impact in

Modeling and Simulation top 0.01%
- COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Infectious Diseases top 0.05%
- SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
- COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies
- Viral Infections and Vectors
- SARS-CoV-2 detection and testing

Papers in

Modeling and Simulation 124
- COVID-19 epidemiological studies 124
Endocrinology 40
- Vibrio bacteria research studies 39

Co-authors: Nicholas G Reich Derek A. T. Cummings Andrew S. Azman Stephen A. Lauer Qifang Bi Kyra H. Grantz Hannah R. Meredith Qulu Zheng
Journals: Epidemics (13 papers)PLoS Medicine (11 papers)American Journal of Epidemiology (11 papers)Science (9 papers)Nature Communications (8 papers)
Partner nations: United States United Kingdom Switzerland

In The Last Decade

Justin Lessler

209 papers receiving 15.9k citations

Hit Papers

9 papers align trajectories log scale

The Incubation Period of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) From Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases: Estimation and Application 2020 · 3.8k citations

What are hit papers?

Hit papers significantly outperform the citation benchmark for their cohort. A paper qualifies if any of the following hold:

it has ≥500 total citations;
it reaches ≥1.5× the top-1% citation threshold for papers in the same subfield and year (the threshold is the minimum needed to enter the top 1%, not the average within it);
it reaches the top citation threshold in at least one of its specific research topics.

2020 Annals of Internal Medicine
2020 Nature Communications
2020 Science
2020 Annals of Internal Medicine
2019 American Journal of Epidemiology
2019 Epidemics
2016 Science
2009 Statistics in Medicine
2009 The Lancet Infectious Diseases

Peers

Countries citing papers authored by Justin Lessler

Since Specialization

Citations

This map shows the geographic impact of Justin Lessler's research. It shows the number of citations coming from papers published by authors working in each country. You can also color the map by specialization and compare the number of citations received by Justin Lessler with the expected number of citations based on a country's size and research output (numbers larger than one mean the country cites Justin Lessler more than expected).

Fields of papers citing papers by Justin Lessler

Since Specialization

Physical SciencesHealth SciencesLife SciencesSocial Sciences

This network shows the impact of papers produced by Justin Lessler. Nodes represent research fields, and links connect fields that are likely to share authors. Colored nodes show fields that tend to cite the papers produced by Justin Lessler. The network helps show where Justin Lessler may publish in the future.

Co-authorship network

The 25 scholars most cited alongside Justin Lessler, linked wherever they have co-authored with each other. Click a name or a connecting line to browse the papers they share.

Border = papers with Justin Lessler Line = papers co-authored together Justin Lessler links everyone, so they are left out of the graph.

All Works

Sort: Min cites: Since: Top N: Style:

20 of 20 papers shown

#	Work
1	The Incubation Periods of Mpox Virus Clade Ib Annals of Internal Medicine ·Javier Perez‐Saez, Zhang Chun-chao, Megan O’Driscoll, 千明三輪, Michel Gautier, A. El-Sammak, Annie Luo, Ольга Олегівна Прокопчук, Stephanie Ngai, Antonio Isidro Carrión Martín, Andrea Hopp, Noëlla Mulopo-Mukanya, Jackie Knee, Isabella Eckerle, 梁金莺, Daniel Mukadi‐Bamuleka, Justin Lessler, Andrew S. Azman, Espoir Bwenge Malembaka	2025	0
2	Expanding cholera serosurveillance to vaccinated populations mBio ·Forrest K. Jones, Taufiqur Rahman Bhuiyan, Damien Slater, Ralph Ternier, Erika Antonello, Ashraful Islam Khan, Fahima Chowdhury, David Riddell, K Hayashi, Mohammad Kamruzzaman, Edward T. Ryan, Stephen B. Calderwood, Regina C. LaRocque, Richelle C. Charles, Daniel T. Leung, Justin Lessler, Louise C. Ivers, Firdausi Qadri, Jason B. Harris, Andrew S. Azman	2025	0
3	Evolving infectious disease dynamics shape school-based intervention effectiveness Nature Communications ·Javier Perez‐Saez, Mathilde Bellon, Justin Lessler, Ashton Grimm, Emma B. Hodcroft, Ольга Викторовна Ларченко, Francesco Pennacchio, Julien Lamour, Florian Laubscher, Arnaud G. L’Huillier, Klara M. Posfay‐Barbe, Sebastian J. Maerkl, Idris Guessous, Andrew S. Azman, Isabella Eckerle, Silvia Stringhini, Elsa Lorthe	2025	0
4	Ensemble 2 : Scenarios ensembling for communication and performance analysis Epidemics ·张子勇, Guillaume St-Onge, Jessica T. Davis, Matteo Chinazzi, Emily Howerton, Justin Lessler, Michael C. Runge, Katriona Shea, Shaun Truelove, Cécile Viboud, Alessandro Vespignani	2024	2
5	Accounting for assay performance when estimating the temporal dynamics in SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in the U.S. Nature Communications ·Bernardo García‐Carreras, Matt D. T. Hitchings, Michael A. Johansson, Matthew Biggerstaff, Rachel B. Slayton, Jessica M. Healy, Justin Lessler, Talía M. Quandelacy, Henrik Salje, Angkana T. Huang, Derek A. T. Cummings	2023	3
6	The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: Delivering long-term projections to guide policy Epidemics ·陈朋, Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, Claire P. Smith, Rebecca K. Borchering, Luke C. Mullany, D. III LEWIS, Marat V. Smirnov, Sung-mok Jung, Tiffany L. Bogich, Willem G. van Panhuis, Caroline Mary Budic, Jeremy U. Espino, 唐太仓, Harry Hochheiser, Michael C. Runge, Katriona Shea, Justin Lessler, Cécile Viboud, Shaun Truelove	2023	12
7	Context-dependent representation of within- and between-model uncertainty: aggregating probabilistic predictions in infectious disease epidemiology Journal of The Royal Society Interface ·Emily Howerton, Michael C. Runge, Tiffany L. Bogich, Rebecca K. Borchering, Hidetoshi Inamine, Justin Lessler, Luke C. Mullany, William J. M. Probert, Claire P. Smith, Shaun Truelove, Cécile Viboud, Katriona Shea	2023	11
8	Estimating the proportion of clinically suspected cholera cases that are true Vibrio cholerae infections: A systematic review and meta-analysis PLoS Medicine ·Kirsten E. Wiens, N Venjssac, G. Bolet, John Mwaba, Justin Lessler, Espoir Bwenge Malembaka, Μαριάννα Αβραμίδου, Godfrey Bwire, Firdausi Qadri, Elizabeth C. Lee, Andrew S. Azman	2023	8
9	Comparison of allocation strategies of convalescent plasma to reduce excess infections and mortality from SARS‐CoV‐2 in a US‐like population Transfusion ·Reedy Lm, Emmanuel F. Drabo, T. J. Cartin, Amy Wesolowski, Shaun Truelove, Evan M. Bloch, Aaron A.R. Tobian, Ralph R. Vassallo, Marjorie D. Bravo, Arturo Casadevall, Justin Lessler, Bryan Lau	2022	2
10	Periodic synchronisation of dengue epidemics in Thailand over the last 5 decades driven by temperature and immunity PLoS Biology ·Bernardo García‐Carreras, Bingyi Yang, M. Kate Grabowski, Lawrence W. Sheppard, Angkana T. Huang, Henrik Salje, Hannah Clapham, Sopon Iamsirithaworn, Pawinee Doungngern, Justin Lessler, Derek A. T. Cummings	2022	10
11	Household COVID-19 risk and in-person schooling Science ·Justin Lessler, M. Kate Grabowski, Kyra H. Grantz, Elena Badillo‐Goicoechea, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Generalanwältin, Andrew S. Azman, Elizabeth A. Stuart	2021	142
12	Clinical Cholera Surveillance Sensitivity in Bangladesh and Implications for Large-Scale Disease Control The Journal of Infectious Diseases ·Sonia T. Hegde, Elizabeth C. Lee, Ashraful Islam Khan, Stephen A. Lauer, Md Taufiqul Islam, Taufiqur Rahman Bhuiyan, Justin Lessler, Andrew S. Azman, Firdausi Qadri, Emily S. Gurley	2021	4
13	Predicting virologically confirmed influenza using school absences in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania, USA during the 2007‐2015 influenza seasons Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses ·Talía M. Quandelacy, Shanta M. Zimmer, Justin Lessler, Charles J. Vukotich, Brittany Fraser, Kyra H. Grantz, David Galloway, Jonathan M. Read, Yenlik Zheteyeva, Hongjiang Gao, Amra Uzicanin, Derek A. T. Cummings	2021	1
14	Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France Science ·Henrik Salje, Cécile Tran Kiem, Noémie Lefrancq, Noémie Courtejoie, Paolo Bosetti, Juliette Paireau, Alessio Andronico, Nathanaël Hozé, Set Durán Carrión, Sara Porcarelli, Yann Le Strat, Justin Lessler, D Lévy-Brühl, Arnaud Fontanet, Lulla Opatowski, Pierre‐Yves Boëlle, Simon Cauchemez Hit paper breakdown →	2020	636
15	Using serological measures to estimate influenza incidence in the presence of secular trends in exposure and immuno‐modulation of antibody response Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses ·Talía M. Quandelacy, Derek A. T. Cummings, Chao Qiang Jiang, Bingyi Yang, Kin On Kwok, Jean-Michel Kaison, Steven Damouni, Jonathan M. Read, Huachen Zhu, Yi Guan, Steven Riley, Justin Lessler	2020	7
16	Perfect counterfactuals for epidemic simulations Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences ·Joshua Kaminsky, Lindsay T. Keegan, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Justin Lessler	2019	10
17	A methodological comparison of risk scores versus decision trees for predicting drug-resistant infections: A case study using extended-spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL) bacteremia Infection Control and Hospital Epidemiology ·Katherine E Goodman, Justin Lessler, Anthony D. Harris, Aaron M. Milstone, Pranita D. Tamma	2019	32
18	Impacts of Zika emergence in Latin America on endemic dengue transmission Nature Communications ·Rebecca K. Borchering, Angkana T. Huang, Luis Mier-y-Terán-Romero, Diana P. Rojas, Isabel Rodríguez-Barraquer, Leah C. Katzelnick, Asri Sulistiawati Djuara Lubis, Gregory D. King, Sreejeth Mini, Justin Lessler, Derek A. T. Cummings	2019	43
19	Prospective forecasts of annual dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence in Thailand, 2010–2014 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences ·Stephen A. Lauer, Krzysztof Sakrejda, Evan L Ray, Lindsay T. Keegan, Qifang Bi, Paphanij Suangtho, Soawapak Hinjoy, Sopon Iamsirithaworn, T. Carlyle, Yongjua Laosiritaworn, Derek A. T. Cummings, Justin Lessler, Nicholas G Reich	2018	50
20	A SpatioTemporal Model for Seasonal Influenza Stefan Edlund, Michal Bromberg, Gabriel Chodick, Judith V. Douglas, Daniel Alexander Ford, Zalman Kaufman, Justin Lessler, Meng-Rou Liu, 忠宇, Andrew Browning, Varda Shalev, James H. Kaufman	2011	1

About Justin Lessler

Justin Lessler is a scholar working on Modeling and Simulation, Endocrinology, Infectious Diseases, Health and Epidemiology, having authored 221 papers that have together received 16.4k indexed citations. Recurring topics across this work include COVID-19 epidemiological studies (124 papers), Influenza Virus Research Studies (45 papers), Vibrio bacteria research studies (39 papers), Mosquito-borne diseases and control (30 papers), Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy (25 papers), Viral Infections and Outbreaks Research (25 papers), Virology and Viral Diseases (20 papers) and Viral Infections and Vectors (18 papers). The work is most often cited by research in Modeling and Simulation (5.9k citations), Infectious Diseases (6.9k citations), Endocrinology (941 citations), Health (1.2k citations) and Epidemiology (3.7k citations). Justin Lessler has collaborated with scholars based in United States, United Kingdom and Switzerland. Frequent co-authors include Nicholas G Reich, Derek A. T. Cummings, Andrew S. Azman, Stephen A. Lauer, Qifang Bi, Kyra H. Grantz, Hannah R. Meredith, Qulu Zheng, Forrest K. Jones and Elizabeth A. Stuart. Their work appears in journals such as Epidemics, PLoS Medicine, American Journal of Epidemiology, Science and Nature Communications.

Rankless uses publication and citation data sourced from OpenAlex, an open and comprehensive bibliographic database. While OpenAlex provides broad and valuable coverage of the global research landscape, it—like all bibliographic datasets—has inherent limitations. These include incomplete records, variations in author disambiguation, differences in journal indexing, and delays in data updates. As a result, some metrics and network relationships displayed in Rankless may not fully capture the entirety of a scholar's output or impact.

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