Toby R. Ault

9.6k total citations · 5 hit papers
77 papers, 6.9k citations indexed

About

Toby R. Ault is a scholar working on Global and Planetary Change, Atmospheric Science and Ecology. According to data from OpenAlex, Toby R. Ault has authored 77 papers receiving a total of 6.9k indexed citations (citations by other indexed papers that have themselves been cited), including 60 papers in Global and Planetary Change, 42 papers in Atmospheric Science and 17 papers in Ecology. Recurrent topics in Toby R. Ault's work include Climate variability and models (45 papers), Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics (24 papers) and Geology and Paleoclimatology Research (20 papers). Toby R. Ault is often cited by papers focused on Climate variability and models (45 papers), Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics (24 papers) and Geology and Paleoclimatology Research (20 papers). Toby R. Ault collaborates with scholars based in United States, Switzerland and Canada. Toby R. Ault's co-authors include Benjamin I. Cook, Jason E. Smerdon, Mark D. Schwartz, Julio L. Betancourt, Scott St. George, Clara Deser, Julia E. Cole, Shoshiro Minobe, Matthew Newman and Gregory T. Pederson and has published in prestigious journals such as Nature, Science and Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

In The Last Decade

Toby R. Ault

75 papers receiving 6.8k citations

Hit Papers

5 papers align trajectories

What are hit papers?

Hit papers significantly outperform the citation benchmark for their cohort. A paper qualifies if it has ≥500 total citations, achieves ≥1.5× the top-1% citation threshold for papers in the same subfield and year (this is the minimum needed to enter the top 1%, not the average within it), or reaches the top citation threshold in at least one of its specific research topics.

Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains

2015 1.1k citations Benjamin I. Cook, Toby R. Ault et al. Science Advances profile →
The Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Revisited

2016 955 citations Toby R. Ault, K. M. Cobb et al. Journal of Climate profile →
Warming experiments underpredict plant phenological responses to climate change

2012 729 citations E. M. Wolkovich, Benjamin I. Cook et al. Nature profile →
Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects

2020 603 citations Clara Deser, Flavio Lehner et al. Nature Climate Change profile →
On the essentials of drought in a changing climate

2020 401 citations Toby R. Ault Science profile →

Peers — A (Enhanced Table)

Peers by citation overlap · career bar shows stage (early→late) cites · hero ref

Name	h						Papers	Cites
Toby R. Ault United States	36	4.6k	3.1k	1.3k	1.0k	889	77	6.9k
Philip B. Duffy United States	33	3.9k 0.8×	2.1k 0.7×	1.4k 1.1×	862 0.8×	732 0.8×	61	6.7k
A. Wiltshire United Kingdom	31	3.3k 0.7×	1.9k 0.6×	982 0.8×	826 0.8×	350 0.4×	55	5.3k
Jason E. Smerdon United States	45	7.0k 1.5×	5.1k 1.7×	980 0.8×	758 0.7×	420 0.5×	141	9.5k
Jon Eischeid United States	39	5.5k 1.2×	3.9k 1.3×	654 0.5×	649 0.6×	788 0.9×	84	7.0k
Hans Tømmervik Norway	39	4.3k 0.9×	2.9k 1.0×	3.4k 2.6×	736 0.7×	266 0.3×	140	8.5k
Gregory S. Okin United States	50	4.3k 0.9×	3.0k 1.0×	2.9k 2.2×	744 0.7×	597 0.7×	166	9.3k
Hans W. Linderholm Sweden	43	4.3k 0.9×	4.2k 1.4×	916 0.7×	431 0.4×	448 0.5×	167	6.2k
Jonathan Barichivich Chile	26	4.3k 0.9×	2.2k 0.7×	974 0.8×	608 0.6×	240 0.3×	41	6.0k
Nicola Gedney United Kingdom	29	5.5k 1.2×	3.2k 1.0×	1.1k 0.8×	412 0.4×	474 0.5×	53	7.1k
T. C. Johns United Kingdom	20	6.0k 1.3×	4.8k 1.6×	707 0.6×	538 0.5×	1.4k 1.6×	29	8.2k

Countries citing papers authored by Toby R. Ault

Since Specialization

Citations

This map shows the geographic impact of Toby R. Ault's research. It shows the number of citations coming from papers published by authors working in each country. You can also color the map by specialization and compare the number of citations received by Toby R. Ault with the expected number of citations based on a country's size and research output (numbers larger than one mean the country cites Toby R. Ault more than expected).

Fields of papers citing papers by Toby R. Ault

Since Specialization

Physical SciencesHealth SciencesLife SciencesSocial Sciences

This network shows the impact of papers produced by Toby R. Ault. Nodes represent research fields, and links connect fields that are likely to share authors. Colored nodes show fields that tend to cite the papers produced by Toby R. Ault. The network helps show where Toby R. Ault may publish in the future.

Co-authorship network of co-authors of Toby R. Ault

This figure shows the co-authorship network connecting the top 25 collaborators of Toby R. Ault. A scholar is included among the top collaborators of Toby R. Ault based on the total number of citations received by their joint publications. Widths of edges represent the number of papers authors have co-authored together. Node borders signify the number of papers an author published with Toby R. Ault. Toby R. Ault is excluded from the visualization to improve readability, since they are connected to all nodes in the network.

All Works

Sort: Min cites: Since: Top N: Style:

20 of 20 papers shown

Schwartz, Mark D., Toby R. Ault, Alison C. Donnelly, et al.. (2025). Building spring development indices for woody species in the conterminous United States. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology. 364. 110443–110443.

Li, Xiaolu, Carlos M. Carrillo, Toby R. Ault, et al.. (2024). Evaluation of Leaf Phenology of Different Vegetation Types From Local to Hemispheric Scale in CLM. Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences. 129(10).

Herrera, Dimitris A., Benjamin I. Cook, John Fasullo, et al.. (2023). Observed changes in hydroclimate attributed to human forcing. PLOS Climate. 2(11). e0000303–e0000303. 4 indexed citations

Coats, Sloan, et al.. (2022). Intrinsic Century‐Scale Variability in Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures and Their Influence on Western US Hydroclimate. Geophysical Research Letters. 49(23). 5 indexed citations

Herrera, Dimitris A., et al.. (2022). Soil Moisture Conditions Determine Land‐Atmosphere Coupling and Drought Risk in the Northeastern United States. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres. 127(6). 31 indexed citations

Herrera, Dimitris A., et al.. (2022). Minor impacts of major volcanic eruptions on hurricanes in dynamically-downscaled last millennium simulations. Climate Dynamics. 59(5-6). 1597–1615. 3 indexed citations

Dee, Sylvia, K. M. Cobb, Julien Emile‐Geay, et al.. (2020). No consistent ENSO response to volcanic forcing over the last millennium. Science. 367(6485). 1477–1481. 78 indexed citations

Deser, Clara, Flavio Lehner, Keith B. Rodgers, et al.. (2020). Publisher Correction: Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects. Nature Climate Change. 10(8). 791–791. 10 indexed citations

Ault, Toby R.. (2020). On the essentials of drought in a changing climate. Science. 368(6488). 256–260. 401 indexed citations breakdown →

10.

Herrera, Dimitris A., Toby R. Ault, Carlos M. Carrillo, et al.. (2020). Dynamical Characteristics of Drought in the Caribbean from Observations and Simulations. Journal of Climate. 33(24). 10773–10797. 18 indexed citations

11.

Deser, Clara, Flavio Lehner, Keith B. Rodgers, et al.. (2020). Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects. Nature Climate Change. 10(4). 277–286. 603 indexed citations breakdown →

12.

Routson, Cody, Nicholas P. McKay, Darrell S. Kaufman, et al.. (2019). Mid-latitude net precipitation decreased with Arctic warming during the Holocene. Nature. 568(7750). 83–87. 195 indexed citations

13.

Herrera, Dimitris A., Toby R. Ault, John Fasullo, et al.. (2018). Exacerbation of the 2013–2016 Pan‐Caribbean Drought by Anthropogenic Warming. Geophysical Research Letters. 45(19). 10619–10626. 47 indexed citations

14.

Dee, Sylvia, et al.. (2017). Improved spectral comparisons of paleoclimate models and observations via proxy system modeling: Implications for multi-decadal variability. Earth and Planetary Science Letters. 476. 34–46. 44 indexed citations

15.

Routson, Cody, Nicholas P. McKay, Darrell S. Kaufman, Toby R. Ault, & Jessica R. Rodysill. (2016). Changing Temperature Gradients Linked to Holocene Moisture Trends in the Northern Hemisphere. AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts. 2016. 1 indexed citations

16.

Cook, Benjamin I., Toby R. Ault, & Jason E. Smerdon. (2015). Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains. Science Advances. 1(1). e1400082–e1400082. 1123 indexed citations breakdown →

17.

Zurita‐Milla, R., et al.. (2014). On the use of gridded daily temperature data to calculate the extended spring indices phenological models : abstract. University of Twente Research Information. 13427. 1 indexed citations

18.

Ault, Toby R., et al.. (2014). Temperature and Precipitation Responses to a Stratospheric Aerosol Geoengineering Experiment Using the Community Climate System Model 4. Journal of Emerging Investigators. 2 indexed citations

19.

Wolkovich, E. M., Benjamin I. Cook, Jenica M. Allen, et al.. (2012). Warming experiments underpredict plant phenological responses to climate change. Nature. 485(7399). 494–497. 729 indexed citations breakdown →

20.

Weiss, Jeremy, Toby R. Ault, Julio L. Betancourt, et al.. (2009). The post-1984 step change in spring temperatures and spring onset in the Western U.S.A.: Proximal and distant drivers. AGUFM. 2009. 1 indexed citations

Rankless uses publication and citation data sourced from OpenAlex, an open and comprehensive bibliographic database. While OpenAlex provides broad and valuable coverage of the global research landscape, it—like all bibliographic datasets—has inherent limitations. These include incomplete records, variations in author disambiguation, differences in journal indexing, and delays in data updates. As a result, some metrics and network relationships displayed in Rankless may not fully capture the entirety of a scholar's output or impact.

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