Ellery Eells

Bayes Factors

The reviewing of object files: Object-specific integration of information

Temporal construal.

Core affect and the psychological construction of emotion.

Reasoning the fast and frugal way: Models of bounded rationality.

Culpable control and the psychology of blame.

Individual differences in reasoning: Implications for the rationality debate?

Uncertainty-based competition between prefrontal and dorsolateral striatal systems for behavioral control

On seeing human: A three-factor theory of anthropomorphism.

The weirdest people in the world?

Discrepancies Between Normative and Descriptive Models of Decision Making and the Understanding/Acceptance Principle

Evolution of indirect reciprocity by image scoring

On the reality of cognitive illusions.

The construction of autobiographical memories in the self-memory system.

Clinical Versus Actuarial Judgment

When choice is demotivating: Can one desire too much of a good thing?

Beyond pleasure and pain.

Thinking through uncertainty: Nonconsequential reasoning and choice

Heuristics made easy: An effort-reduction framework.

Perception of Risk

The Loser's Curse: Decision Making and Market Efficiency in the National Football League Draft

Norm theory: Comparing reality to its alternatives.

Advances in Behavioral Finance.

The Abuse of Probability in Political Analysis: The Robinson Crusoe Fallacy

Who makes acquisitions? CEO overconfidence and the market's reaction☆

Imagining Can Heighten or Lower the Perceived Likelihood of Contracting a Disease

Does Living in California Make People Happy? A Focusing Illusion in Judgments of Life Satisfaction

The weighing of evidence and the determinants of confidence

Anomalies: The Winner's Curse

Evaluation of goodness-of-fit indices for structural equation models.

Multimodel Inference

The hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequences

A Grammar of Institutions

How alike is it versus how likely is it: A disjunction fallacy in probability judgments.

Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing

On the reality of cognitive illusions.

A perspective on judgment and choice: Mapping bounded rationality.

In Search of Attention

Trading Is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors

A model of investor sentiment1We are grateful to the NSF for financial support, and to Oliver Blanchard, Alon Brav, John Campbell (a referee), John Cochrane, Edward Glaeser, J.B. Heaton, Danny Kahneman, David Laibson, Owen Lamont, Drazen Prelec, Jay Ritter (a referee), Ken Singleton, Dick Thaler, an anonymous referee, and the editor, Bill Schwert, for comments.1

Varieties of regret: A debate and partial resolution.

Heuristics and Biases in Retirement Savings Behavior

Assessing uncertainty in physical constants

Investor Psychology and Security Market Under‐ and Overreactions

Toward a Conception of Causality Applicable to Experimentation and Causal Modeling

Toward a Synthesis of Deterministic and Probabilistic Formulations of Causal Relations by the Functional Relation Concept

How to Tell When Simpler, More Unified, or LessAd HocTheories will Provide More Accurate Predictions

Propensities and counterfactuals: The loser that almost won.

Anomalies: Utility Maximization and Experienced Utility

Maps of Bounded Rationality: Psychology for Behavioral Economics

Boys will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment

Toward an instance theory of automatization.

Do Frequency Representations Eliminate Conjunction Effects? An Exercise in Adversarial Collaboration

Dimensions of Consumer Expertise

Unpacking, repacking, and anchoring: Advances in support theory.

Reassessment of Expectations as a Comparison Standard in Measuring Service Quality: Implications for Further Research

Reintroducing group selection to the human behavioral sciences

In Honor of Matthew Rabin: Winner of the John Bates Clark Medal

Support theory: A nonextensional representation of subjective probability.

Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment

Choices: An Introduction to Decision Theory.

Rational Decision and Causality

PROBLEMS OF OLD EVIDENCE

Probabilistic Causality and the Question of Transitivity